Finance:(Q,r) model

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The (Q,r) model is a class of models in inventory theory.[1] A general (Q,r) model can be extended from both the EOQ model and the base stock model[2]

Overview

Assumptions

  1. Products can be analyzed individually
  2. Demands occur one at a time (no batch orders)
  3. Unfilled demand is back-ordered (no lost sales)
  4. Replenishment lead times are fixed and known
  5. Replenishments are ordered one at a time
  6. Demand is modeled by a continuous probability distribution
  7. There is a fixed cost associated with a replenishment order
  8. There is a constraint on the number of replenishment orders per year

Variables

  • D = Expected demand per year
  • = Replenishment lead time
  • X = Demand during replenishment lead time
  • g(x) = probability density function of demand during lead time
  • G(x) = cumulative distribution function of demand during lead time
  • θ = mean demand during lead time
  • A = setup or purchase order cost per replenishment
  • c = unit production cost
  • h = annual unit holding cost
  • k = cost per stockout
  • b = annual unit backorder cost
  • Q = replenishment quantity
  • r = reorder point
  • SS=rθ, safety stock level
  • F(Q,r) = order frequency
  • S(Q,r) = fill rate
  • B(Q,r) = average number of outstanding back-orders
  • I(Q,r) = average on-hand inventory level

Costs

The number of orders per year can be computed as F(Q,r)=DQ, the annual fixed order cost is F(Q,r)A. The fill rate is given by:

S(Q,r)=1Qrr+QG(x)dx

The annual stockout cost is proportional to D[1 - S(Q,r)], with the fill rate beying:

S(Q,r)=1Qrr+QG(x)dx=11Q[B(r))B(r+Q)]

Inventory holding cost is hI(Q,r), average inventory being:

I(Q,r)=Q+12+rθ+B(Q,r)

Backorder cost approach

The annual backorder cost is proportional to backorder level:

B(Q,r)=1Qrr+QB(x+1)dx

Total cost function and optimal reorder point

The total cost is given by the sum of setup costs, purchase order cost, backorders cost and inventory carrying cost:

Y(Q,r)=DQA+bB(Q,r)+hI(Q,r)

The optimal reorder quantity and optimal reorder point are given by:

Q*=2ADh

G(r*+1)=bb+h


Normal distribution

In the case lead-time demand is normally distributed:

r*=θ+zσ

Stockout cost approach

The total cost is given by the sum of setup costs, purchase order cost, stockout cost and inventory carrying cost:

Y(Q,r)=DQA+kD[1S(Q,r)]+hI(Q,r)

What changes with this approach is the computation of the optimal reorder point:

G(r*)=kDkD+hQ

Lead-Time Variability

X is the random demand during replenishment lead time:

X=t=1LDt

In expectation:

E[X]=E[L]E[Dt]=d=θ

Variance of demand is given by:

Var(x)=E[L]Var(Dt)+E[Dt]2Var(L)=σD2+d2σL2

Hence standard deviation is:

σ=Var(X)=σD2+d2σL2

Poisson distribution

if demand is Poisson distributed:

σ=σD2+d2σL2=θ+d2σL2

See also

References

  1. T. Whitin, G. Hadley, Analysis of Inventory Systems, Prentice Hall 1963
  2. W.H. Hopp, M. L. Spearman, Factory Physics, Waveland Press 2008