SciCast
SciCast is a collaborative platform for science and technology forecasting created by George Mason University with the help of a grant from the Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA) as part of its ForeST (Forecasting in Science and Technology) program.[1][2][3] SciCast is currently (January 2016) on hiatus, after losing its main IARPA funding.[4] It was expected to re-open in the fall of 2015 with the support of a major Science & Technology sponsor, but this had not occurred by January 2016.
History
SciCast was an outgrowth of an earlier project called DAGGRE (Decomposition-Based Elicitation and Aggregation), also an IARPA project that implemented GMU economist Robin Hanson's idea of combinatorial prediction tech markets, and was a participant in the IARPA Aggregative Contingent Estimation tournament.[5][6]
The launch of SciCast itself was announced by Robin Hanson on January 3, 2014,[5] and the official announcements were made on January 10, 2014.[2] The launch received some news coverage in March 2014.[1][7]
Reception
SciCast has been covered in The Chicago Tribune repeatedly.[1][8]
The launch of SciCast was picked up by many blogs and websites of data analysis and technology trends.[9][10][11] SciCast's crowdsourced search for the missing Malaysia Airlines Flight 370 airliner attracted the attention of some analysts.[12]
See also
- Aggregative Contingent Estimation
- Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity
- The Good Judgment Project
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Jury, Jessie (December 16, 2013). "SciCast Launch! Crowdsourced Forecasting Project from George Mason University". Chicago Tribune. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/suburbs/community/chi-ugc-article-scicast-launch-crowdsourced-forecasting-proj-2013-12-16,0,6925070.story. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 "SciCast Crowdsources Forecasts on Science and Technology Events and Innovations". George Mason University Newsdesk. January 10, 2014. http://newsdesk.gmu.edu/2014/01/scicast-crowdsources-forecasts-science-technology-events-innovations/. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Matheny, Jason. "Forecasting Science & Technology (ForeST)". Intelligence Advanced Research Projects Activity. http://www.iarpa.gov/index.php/research-programs/forest. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ "So Long, and Thanks for All the Fish!". The Official SciCast Blog. June 8, 2015. http://blog.scicast.org/2015/06/08/so-long-and-thanks-for-all-the-fish/. Retrieved July 12, 2015.
- ↑ 5.0 5.1 Hanson, Robin (January 3, 2014). "Announcing: SciCast". Overcoming Bias. http://www.overcomingbias.com/2014/01/announcingscicast.html. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Hanson, Robin (August 31, 2011). "Join The DAGGRE Team". Overcoming Bias. http://www.overcomingbias.com/2011/08/join-gmus-daggre-team.html. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Roderick, Jennifer (March 30, 2014). "SciCast - Predict Tomorrow, Today. The Center for Science, Technology, and Security Policy (CSTSP) is working with a research group at George Mason University on a project – SciCast - to develop an online crowd-sourcing tool that can help predict future innovations in science and technology.". American Association for the Advancement of Science. http://www.aaas.org/news/scicast-predict-tomorrow-today. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Jury, Jessie (April 29, 2014). "SciCast College Bowl Kicks off Today, April 29". Chicago Tribune. http://www.chicagotribune.com/news/local/suburbs/frankfort_mokena_new_lenox/community/chi-ugc-article-scicast-college-bowl-kicks-off-today-april-2-2014-04-29,0,4160076.story. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Piatetsky, Gregory (January 16, 2014). "SciCast: a Crowdsourced Forecasting Platform for Science and Technology". KD Nuggets. http://www.kdnuggets.com/2014/01/scicast-crowdsourced-forecasting-platform-science-technology.html. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Ed (January 22, 2014). "SciCast: Toward a better model for prediction". Security Curve. Archived from the original on January 29, 2014. https://web.archive.org/web/20140129175523/http://www.securitycurve.com/archives/6895. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Lozada, John (February 6, 2014). "Robin Hanson – SciCast, Prediction Markets & Future Day". http://sasm.tv/2014/02/06/robin-hanson-scicast-prediction-markets-future-day/. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
- ↑ Piatetsky, Gregory (March 15, 2014). "SciCast Crowdsourcing search for Malaysian Air Flight MH370". http://www.kdnuggets.com/2014/03/scicast-crowdsourcing-search-malaysian-air-flight-370.html. Retrieved May 6, 2014.
External links
 |  |
