2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
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The 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on January 23, 2024, as part of the Democratic Party primaries for the 2024 presidential election. Incumbent President Joe Biden has been projected the winner of the New Hampshire primary, following a successful write-in vote campaign carried out by his supporters.[3]
33 delegates to the Democratic National Convention would have been allocated to presidential candidates.[4] However, no delegates will be allocated from this primary,[1] as the Democratic National Committee (DNC) has not sanctioned this year's New Hampshire primary. The DNC-approved 2024 calendar placed the South Carolina primary first,[2] but New Hampshire state law mandates them to hold the first primary in the country, and a "bipartisan group of state politicians", including the chairs of the Democratic and the Republican parties, announced that the state would preserve this status.[5] Thus while Biden announced his bid for a second term, he declined to appear on the New Hampshire ballot to comply with the DNC; his supporters instead ran a write-in campaign that he did not endorse.[6] Biden won this primary as a write-in candidate.[7]
Controversies
Scheduling
Joe Biden sent a letter on December 1, 2022, to the "rule-making arm" of the Democratic National Committee (DNC), requesting that "diversity" should be emphasized in the 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries, upending New Hampshire's tradition of being the first primary state.[8] A December 2022 vote by the DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee the following day approved the change.[9]
On February 4, 2023, the DNC formally approved the new 2024 primary calendar, moving South Carolina to hold its race first on February 3, followed by Nevada and New Hampshire on February 6. One member of the Rules and Bylaws Committee who supported this new plan, Lee Saunders, further said it will give a better representation of the composition of the country.[10]
Members of the New Hampshire Democratic Party opposed the move, noted that moving their primary to comply with the new calendar would require changing New Hampshire state law mandating them to hold the first primary in the country.[11] This was unlikely to happen since the state's legislature is controlled by Republicans, who are "unwilling" to change it.[10] Republican New Hampshire governor Chris Sununu also criticized the DNC's plan as an "absolute joke ... It's just based on a personal preference of a candidate".[12]
The DNC originally gave New Hampshire until June to change their primary dates,[2] then extended this deadline to September. But Politico reported that "there was little reason to expect a friendly resolution",[13] since Republican New Hampshire Secretary of State David Scanlan has the sole power to set the state's presidential primary date, in accordance with the aforementioned New Hampshire law.[14] Scanlan announced the January 23 primary date on November 15, criticizing the DNC and stating that "using racial diversity as a cudgel and an attempt to rearrange the presidential nominating calendar is an ugly precedent".[15]
The DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee affirmed on January 6, 2024, that the primary is unsanctioned and non-binding, and is therefore "meaningless".[1][16] Republican New Hampshire Attorney General John Formella sent a "cease and desist" letter to the DNC in response, accusing the DNC of voter suppression. The New Hampshire Democratic Party again committed to voting in alignment with the state law mandating that its primary be held first.[17] The state party may still send their delegation to the Democratic National Convention anyway, hoping the DNC will reverse course similar to what happened in 2008 when Florida and Michigan held their primaries earlier than the calendar allowed; after initially ruling both states would be stripped of all their delegates, it was decided to only penalize half of their delegates.[18]
AI robocall
NBC News reported on January 22, 2024, that the New Hampshire attorney general's office was investigating AI-generated robocalls seemingly from Biden which encouraged voters to skip voting on the day of the primary.[19] Phillips was critical of the calls and called for more regulation in the AI sector.[20] Aaron Jacobs, a spokesman for the Biden write-in campaign, indicated that the matter was referred to the police.[21]
Candidates
Official candidates on the ballot
The following candidates have officially filed by the end of the filing deadline on October 27, 2023.[22] In order to make the ballot, candidates had to pay a $1,000 filing fee.[23]
- "President" R. Boddie
- Terrisa Bukovinac
- Eban Cambridge
- Gabriel Cornejo
- Mark Stewart Greenstein
- Tom Koos
- Paul V. LaCava
- Star Locke
- Frankie Lozada
- Stephen P. Lyons
- Raymond Michael Moroz
- Derek Nadeau
- Jason Michael Palmer
- Armando "Mando" Perez-Serrato
- Dean Phillips
- Donald Picard
- Paperboy Prince
- Richard Rist
- Vermin Supreme
- John Vail
- Marianne Williamson
Write-in campaigns
In addition to the candidates who made the ballot, several candidates ran write-in campaigns.
Incumbent President Joe Biden announced his bid for a second term on April 25, 2023.[24] However, Biden's team indicated that he would not appear on the New Hampshire primary ballot if the state defies the DNC's calendar and schedules its race before South Carolina's.[25] In October 2023, the manager for the Biden campaign, Julie Chávez Rodriguez, confirmed in a letter to the chair of the New Hampshire Democratic Party Raymond Buckley that Biden would not appear on the primary ballot in order to comply with the DNC's calendar.[26] Pro-Biden New Hampshire Democrats, including Kathy Sullivan (the former chairwoman of the state Democratic party) and former Representatives Paul Hodes and Carol Shea-Porter, launched a formal write-in campaign on October 30,[27] concluding that it would only hurt the Biden campaign if he lost the state's unsanctioned primary by default.[28]
In January 2024, voters promoting a ceasefire in the Israel–Hamas war launched a write-in campaign for "ceasefire".[29] New Hampshire secretary of state David Scanlan has indicated that these "ceasefire" votes were tallied.[30] Ultimately, "Ceasefire" received 1,497 votes, or 1.28%.[31]
Cenk Uygur, who filed for the ballot but was disqualified due to not being a natural-born citizen, told supporters to write him in in an X post the day of the primary.[32][better source needed]
Despite not running in or campaigning in this primary, independent politicians Robert F. Kennedy Jr. and Bernie Sanders each received notable amounts of write-in votes.[33] Additionally, several candidates running in the concurrently held Republican primaries received sizable amounts of write-ins in the Democratic primary. In previous New Hampshire primaries, candidates of the opposite have received write-in votes from voters who missed the deadline to change their registration.[34]
Endorsements
Template:Endorsements box Template:Endorsements box Template:Endorsements box
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Joe Biden (write-in) |
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. |
Dean Phillips |
Marianne Williamson |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emerson College/WHDH | January 18–20, 2024 | 467 (LV) | ± 4.5% | 61% | – | 16% | 5% | 2% | 16% |
| American Research Group | January 18–20, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 54% | – | 32% | 3% | 4% | 7% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | January 16–19, 2024 | 775 (LV) | 63% | – | 10% | 9% | 11% | 6% | |
| American Research Group | January 12–15, 2024 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 58% | – | 28% | 3% | 2% | 9% |
| Emerson College/WHDH | January 8–10, 2024 | 590 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 49% | – | 16% | 5% | 3% | 27% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | January 4–8, 2024 | 643 (LV) | ± 3.9% | 69% | – | 7% | 6% | 11% | 7% |
| Suffolk University / USA Today | January 3–7, 2024 | 318 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 64% | – | 6% | 2% | 28% | |
| American Research Group | December 27 – January 4, 2024 | 600 (LV) | – | 58% | – | 21% | 5% | 2% | 14% |
| NHJournal/co-efficient | December 18–20, 2023 | 1,016 (LV) | ± 3.1% | 38% | 1% (write-in) | 7% | 7% | 8% | Template:Party shading/Undecided |39% |
| American Research Group | December 14–20, 2023 | 600 (LV) | ± 4.0% | 51% | – | 17% | 6% | 3% | 23% |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | December 18–19, 2023 | ? (LV) | ± 4.8% | 50% | – | 10% | 7% | 4% | 29% |
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | November 10–14, 2023 | 674 (LV) | ± 3.5% | 65% | – | 10% | 9% | 5% | 10% |
| Emerson College/WHDH | November 10–13, 2023 | 917 (RV) | ± 3.3% | 27%[lower-alpha 3] | – | 15% | 10% | 5% | Template:Party shading/Undecided |44% |
| Phillips declares his candidacy | |||||||||
| Kennedy withdraws from the primaries | |||||||||
| University of New Hampshire/CNN | September 14–18, 2023 | 801 (LV) | ± 3.2% | 78% | 9% | – | 6% | 3% | 4% |
| Emerson College | August 9–11, 2023 | 354 (LV) | – | 65% | 12% | – | 4% | 19% | |
| University of New Hampshire | July 13–17, 2023 | 743 (LV) | – | 70% | 10% | – | 4% | 6% | 10% |
| American Pulse Research & Polling | July 5–11, 2023 | 354 (LV) | – | 80% | 11% | – | – | – | 9% |
| Saint Anselm College Survey Center | June 21–23, 2023 | 419 (RV) | ± 3.0% | 68% | 9% | – | 8% | – | 16% |
Hypothetical polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size[lower-alpha 2] |
Margin of error |
Stacey Abrams |
Joe Biden |
Cory Booker |
Pete Buttigieg |
Hillary Clinton |
Kamala Harris |
Amy Klobuchar |
Gavin Newsom |
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez |
Bernie Sanders |
Elizabeth Warren |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 13–17, 2023 | 700 (LV) | – | 1% | 25% | – | 9% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 3% | 4% | 17% | 8% | 19%[lower-alpha 4] | 7% |
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 28–30, 2023 | 556 (RV) | ± 4.1% | – | 34% | – | 18% | 1% | 4% | – | 4% | – | 11% | – | 29%[lower-alpha 5] | – |
| Emerson College | Mar 3–5, 2023 | 390 (LV) | ± 4.9% | – | 29% | – | 14% | – | 11% | 7% | 1% | – | 17% | 11% | 6%[lower-alpha 6] | 4% |
| co/efficient | Jan 25–26, 2023 | 486 (LV) | ± 4.45% | – | 37% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 46% | 17% |
| – | 25% | – | 16% | – | 5% | – | – | 3% | – | – | 15%[lower-alpha 7] | Template:Party shading/Undecided | 36% | ||||
| University of New Hampshire | Jan 19–23, 2023 | 346 (LV) | ± 5.3% | – | 19% | – | 23% | 0% | 2% | 5% | 1% | 6% | 15% | 18% | 3% | 4% |
| University of New Hampshire | Jul 21–25, 2022 | 430 (LV) | ± 4.7% | 3% | 16% | 2% | 17% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 6%[lower-alpha 8] | 6% |
| University of New Hampshire | Apr 16–20, 2021 | 787 (A) | – | – | 64% | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | – | 18%[lower-alpha 9] | 17% |
| Saint Anselm College | Mar 4–6, 2021 | 418 (LV) | – | – | – | – | – | – | 45% | – | – | – | – | – | 26%[lower-alpha 10] | 30% |
Results
This is Biden's first primary victory in the state (though he has competed in the state's Democratic primary three other times).[35]
See also
- 2024 New Hampshire Republican presidential primary
- 2024 Democratic Party presidential primaries
- 2024 United States presidential election
- 2024 United States presidential election in New Hampshire
- 2024 United States elections
Notes
- ↑ New Hampshire's delegates will not be awarded through this unofficial primary.[1] The early date violates the DNC-approved calendar, which confirmed South Carolina as the first primary state.[2]
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 Key:
A – all adults
RV – registered voters
LV – likely voters
V – unclear - ↑ Biden was not initially prompted as an option.
- ↑ Michelle Obama with 10%; Robert F. Kennedy and Gretchen Whitmer with 2% each; Raphael Warnock, Mariann Williamson, Jared Polis, J.B Pritzker, and Josh Shapiro with 1% each
- ↑ Michelle Obama with 14%; Other with 7%; Gretchen Whitmer with 4%; Andrew Yang and Marianne Williamson with 2%.
- ↑ Gretchen Whitmer with 4%
- ↑ Michelle Obama with 15%
- ↑ "Other" with 4%; Chris Murphy and Gretchen Whitmer with 1%; Jared Polis, J.B. Pritzker, and Gina Raimondo with 0%
- ↑ 18% do not want Biden run in the 2024 presidential election
- ↑ "If Joe Biden decides not to run for re-election, someone else" with 26%
References
- ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Kashinsky, Lisa (January 6, 2024). "DNC blasts NH Dems over 'meaningless' primary". Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2024/01/06/dnc-nh-primary-00134174. Retrieved January 6, 2024.
- ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 Vakil, Caroline (February 4, 2023). "DNC approves adjusted early presidential primary schedule". The Hill. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3843311-dnc-approves-adjusted-early-presidential-primary-schedule/.
- ↑ "Biden wins the New Hampshire Democratic primary as a write-in candidate". January 24, 2024. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/new-hampshire-democrats-primary-biden-rcna135152.
- ↑ "New Hampshire Democratic Delegation 2024". https://www.thegreenpapers.com/P24/NH-D#0319.
- ↑ "Here's when the New Hampshire 2024 primary will take place". November 15, 2023. https://www.wmur.com/article/new-hampshire-primary-2024-date/45846771.
- ↑ Bottari, Steve (October 30, 2023). "Effort launches to get New Hampshire Democrats to write in Biden's name on primary ballot" (in en-US). https://www.wmur.com/article/democrats-write-in-joe-biden-nh-primary/45689402.
- ↑ "5 takeaways from the New Hampshire primary". The Hill. January 23, 2024. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4425725-5-takeaways-from-the-new-hampshire-primary/. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ↑ "AP sources: Biden tells Dems he wants SC as 1st primary vote". December 1, 2022. https://apnews.com/article/biden-iowa-south-carolina-e738592ee088fa4ca5614ba501d63726.
- ↑ "DNC Rules and Bylaws Committee Adopts Biden Calendar Proposal". Frontloading HQ. December 2, 2022. http://www.frontloadinghq.com/2022/12/dnc-rules-and-bylaws-committee-adopts.html. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ↑ 10.0 10.1 Chambers, Francesca (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve 2024 primary calendar that demotes Iowa, boosts South Carolina". USA Today. https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/2023/02/04/democrats-2024-presidential-primary-calendar/11180347002/.
- ↑ Shepherd, Brittany (February 4, 2023). "Democrats approve new primary calendar for 2024". ABC News. https://abcnews.go.com/US/democrats-approve-new-primary-calendar-2024/story?id=96894345.
- ↑ "New Hampshire battles to retain first-in-the-nation presidential primary as DNC leaders meet to vote on possible changes". CBS News. February 3, 2023. https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-hampshire-primary-dnc-calendar-changes/.
- ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (June 16, 2023). "Democrats buy time in fight over New Hampshire primary" (in en). https://www.politico.com/news/2023/06/16/democrats-2024-new-hampshire-primary-00102471.
- ↑ Feely, Paul (July 14, 2023). "Potential January date for NH's presidential primary comes into focus". New Hampshire Union Leader. Yahoo!. https://news.yahoo.com/potential-january-date-nhs-presidential-035900152.html.
- ↑ Barnett, Emma (November 15, 2023). "New Hampshire sets presidential primary date for Jan. 23, defying Biden's new primary order". NBC News. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/new-hampshire-sets-presidential-primary-date-jan-23-defying-bidens-new-rcna125161. Retrieved November 16, 2023.
- ↑ Ramer, Holly (January 8, 2024). "New Hampshire attorney general suggests national Dems broke law by calling primary 'meaningless'". Associated Press. https://apnews.com/article/new-hampshire-primary-dnc-rules-b497703a80802db98bc876630cde8431. Retrieved January 20, 2024.
- ↑ Fortinsky, Sarah (January 8, 2024). "New Hampshire sends DNC cease-and-desist letter: Stop saying our primary is 'meaningless'". the Hill. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4396275-new-hampshire-primary-dnc-cease-desist-letter/. Retrieved January 11, 2024.
- ↑ Yoon, Robert (January 17, 2024). "This is why zero delegates are at stake when Democrats vote in New Hampshire". Associated Press. https://apnews.com/article/new-hampshire-democratic-primary-explained-1935530652e371fa3bffdad209ebea82. Retrieved January 21, 2024.
- ↑ "Fake Joe Biden robocall tells New Hampshire Democrats not to vote Tuesday". NBC News. January 22, 2024. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/fake-joe-biden-robocall-tells-new-hampshire-democrats-not-vote-tuesday-rcna134984. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ↑ Robertson, Nick (January 22, 2024). "Dean Phillips: Fake robocalls in NH highlight need for regulation". The Hill. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4422545-dean-phillips-fake-robocalls-in-nh-highlight-need-for-regulation/. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ↑ Samuels, Brett (January 22, 2024). "Biden write-in campaign condemns fake robocall in New Hampshire discouraging voting on Tuesday". The Hill. https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/4421663-biden-write-in-campaign-condemns-fake-robocall-in-new-hampshire-discouraging-voting-on-tuesday/. Retrieved January 23, 2024.
- ↑ "Source: New Hampshire Secretary of State". https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/documents/2023-10/cumulative-filings-10.27.23.pdf.
- ↑ "Running for Office – President". https://www.sos.nh.gov/sites/g/files/ehbemt561/files/inline-documents/sonh/running-for-office-for-web.pdf.
- ↑ Miller, Zeke (April 25, 2023). "Biden announces 2024 reelection bid: 'Let's finish this job'". Associated Press. https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-election-2024-president-democrats-trump-9c72115656855da89a41cac3f79aa65b. Retrieved October 28, 2023.
- ↑ Thompson, Alex (June 15, 2023). "Biden could lose first two '24 contests to RFK Jr.". Axios. https://www.axios.com/2023/06/15/iowa-new-hampshire-biden-lose-2024-primaries-election.
- ↑ Schneider, Elena (October 24, 2023). "Biden won't appear on New Hampshire primary ballot". Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/24/biden-wont-appear-new-hampshire-primary-ballot-00123342. Retrieved October 24, 2023.
- ↑ Kashinsky, Lisa (October 30, 2023). "Democrats launch write-in campaign for Biden in N.H.". Politico. https://www.politico.com/news/2023/10/30/biden-new-hampshire-democrats-write-in-campaign-00124217. Retrieved October 30, 2023.
- ↑ Seitz-Wald, Alex (January 16, 2024). "Inside the 'weird' write-in campaign needed to help Biden win New Hampshire". NBC News. https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/weird-write-campaign-needed-help-biden-win-new-hampshire-rcna133295. Retrieved January 17, 2024.
- ↑ Alpert, Arnie (January 18, 2024). "Primary write-in campaign launched for 'Ceasefire,' instead of Biden's name" (in en-US). https://www.nashuatelegraph.com/news/local-news/2024/01/18/primary-write-in-campaign-launched-for-ceasefire-instead-of-bidens-name/.
- ↑ Winger, Richard (January 23, 2024). "New Hampshire Secretary of State Will Count Write-ins in Presidential Primaries for "Ceasefire"". Ballot Access News. https://ballot-access.org/2024/01/23/new-hampshire-secretary-of-state-will-count-write-ins-in-presidential-primaries-for-ceasefire/.
- ↑ "2024 Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results". New Hampshire Secretary of State. https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-democratic-presidential-primary-election-results. Retrieved January 24, 2024.
- ↑ Uygur, Cenk [@cenkuygur] (January 23, 2024). "If you live in New Hampshire, you get to make history today. You'll be the first people in US history to vote for a naturalized citizen for president. That gets us one step closer to equality. Also, I'm the better candidate.😁Write me in, coach. #writeinCenk #Cenk2024". https://twitter.com/cenkuygur/status/1749825932121313524.
- ↑ "2024 Democratic Presidential Primary Election Results" (in en). https://www.sos.nh.gov/2024-democratic-presidential-primary-election-results.
- ↑ Piper, Jessica (2024-01-23). "Why it's safe to assume most Democratic write-ins will be for Joe Biden" (in en). https://www.politico.com/live-updates/2024/01/23/new-hampshire-primary-2024/new-hampshire-write-in-votes-00136940.
- ↑ "After decisive write-in victory for Biden in New Hampshire, will DNC count state's delegates?". WMUR. January 24, 2024. https://www.wmur.com/article/joe-biden-new-hampshire-dnc-delegates/46525255. Retrieved January 25, 2024.
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