Finance:Deviation risk measure

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Short description: Risk metric quantifying variability of returns around their expected value

In financial mathematics, a deviation risk measure is a function to quantify financial risk (and not necessarily downside risk) in a different method than a general risk measure. Deviation risk measures generalize the concept of standard deviation.

Mathematical definition

A function D:ℒ2→[0,+∞], where ℒ2 is the L2 space of random variables (random portfolio returns), is a deviation risk measure if

  1. Shift-invariant: D(X+r)=D(X) for any r∈ℝ
  2. Normalization: D(0)=0
  3. Positively homogeneous: D(λX)=λD(X) for any X∈ℒ2 and λ>0
  4. Sublinearity: D(X+Y)≤D(X)+D(Y) for any X,Y∈ℒ2
  5. Positivity: D(X)>0 for all nonconstant X, and D(X)=0 for any constant X.[1][2]

Relation to risk measure

There is a one-to-one relationship between a deviation risk measure D and an expectation-bounded risk measure R where for any X∈ℒ2

  • D(X)=R(X−𝔼[X])
  • R(X)=D(X)−𝔼[X].

R is expectation bounded if R(X)>𝔼[−X] for any nonconstant X and R(X)=𝔼[−X] for any constant X.

If D(X)<𝔼[X]−essinf⁡X for every X (where essinf is the essential infimum), then there is a relationship between D and a coherent risk measure.[1]

Examples

The most well-known examples of risk deviation measures are:[1]

  • Standard deviation σ(X)=E[(X−EX)2];
  • Average absolute deviation MAD(X)=E(|X−EX|);
  • Lower and upper semi-deviations σ−(X)=E[(X−EX)−2] and σ+(X)=E[(X−EX)+2], where [X]−:=max⁡{0,−X} and [X]+:=max⁡{0,X};
  • Range-based deviations, for example, D(X)=EX−inf⁡X and D(X)=sup⁡X−inf⁡X;
  • Conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) deviation, defined for any α∈(0,1) by CVaRαΔ(X)≡ESα(X−EX), where ESα(X) is Expected shortfall.

See also

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Rockafellar, Tyrrell; Uryasev, Stanislav; Zabarankin, Michael (2002). Deviation Measures in Risk Analysis and Optimization. 
  2. ↑ Cheng, Siwei; Liu, Yanhui; Wang, Shouyang (2004). "Progress in Risk Measurement". Advanced Modelling and Optimization 6 (1).