Finance:Progressive parlay

From HandWiki

A progressive parlay is a joint wager on multiple events, for example team sports or horse races. Generally a progressive parlay involves a joint wager on four to twelve separate events.[1] Should all the selected bets win, the bettor receives a relatively large payout, because of the sizable odds against this happening. However, unlike a regular parlay, if some of the individual bets lose, but most win, the bettor still wins, although with a much smaller payout. Several sites use a schedule where the bettor can lose one bet on a 4-6 event progressive parlay, can lose up to two bets on a 7-9 event progressive parlay, and up to three bets on a 10-12 event progressive parlay.[1][2][3][4] The term has also been used for a long series of wagers on roulette or other gambling games, where the bettor attempts to rely on a "stream of luck".[5][6][7][8]

Strategies

Several strategies have been suggested by gambling consultants when wagering on parlays or progressive parlays, one of them being to pick interrelated outcomes. For example, a bettor may believe that one team is likely to win if the game is a low-scoring affair while the other team is almost certain to win if the game becomes a high scoring shootout. If the bettor uses a parlay to bet on the first team along with an under bet against the point total, he stands to gain 2.6 units ($260 if $100 is bet) on an original investment of 1 unit (the most common unit in betting is $100 although any amount can be substituted as a unit) compared to a payout of just 1.82 units ($182) if the bets are made independently of each other. Conversely, if both outcomes are missed, one will only lose his original 1 unit investment rather than the 2 units one would lose if it had wagered on the events individually. This minimized risk is another notable potential positive of a parlay. If a bettor wishes to bet on a significant number of events without putting a substantial amount of his total bankroll at stake, parlays may represent an attractive option. By turning 12 individual events into four 3 event parlays, the bettor reduces the number of units he is risking from 12 to 4 while simultaneously increasing his potential payout if all events are correctly picked.[9]

References

  1. 1.0 1.1 "Progressive Parlays". SPORTSBETTING.NET site. http://www.sportsbetting.net/sports-betting-school/progressive-parlays.html. Retrieved 27 January 2010. 
  2. Stephenson, Vince. "Progressive Parlay Bet". SportsBet.com site. http://www.sportsbet.com/sports-bet-types/progressive-parlay-bet.html. Retrieved 27 January 2010. 
  3. "Progressive Parlays". Belmont.com site. http://www.belmont.com/sports-news/betting-guide/progressive-parlays/. Retrieved 27 January 2010. 
  4. "Progressive Parlays". Predict Em site. http://www.predictem.com/betting/progressive.php. Retrieved 27 January 2010. 
  5. "Education: Applied Mathematics". Time. December 1, 1947. http://www.time.com/time/magazine/article/0,9171,779476,00.html. Retrieved 27 January 2010. "It was a "progressive parlay" based on mathematical probability, some intricate slide-rule calculations, and two assumptions: that any roulette wheel follows a pattern of its own, and that good or bad luck runs in streams." 
  6. "Math Student Finds $300 Plus Reno is $13,000: U. of C. Graduate and Pal 'Take' Town at Roulette". Chicago Daily Tribune: pp. 22. November 20, 1947. https://pqasb.pqarchiver.com/chicagotribune/access/474489282.html?dids=474489282:474489282&FMT=ABS&FMTS=ABS:AI&type=historic&date=Nov+20%2C+1947&author=&pub=Chicago+Tribune&desc=MATH+STUDENT+FINDS+%24300+PLUS+RENO+IS+%2413%2C000&pqatl=google. Retrieved 27 January 2010. 
  7. Moe, Al W. (October 2008). The Roots of Reno. BookSurge Publishing. p. 177. ISBN 978-1-4392-1199-1. https://books.google.com/books?id=evsHVs5xvhYC&dq=%22Progressive+parlay%22&pg=PA177. Retrieved 26 January 2010. 
  8. Baer, Robert M. (1972). The Digital Villain. Addison-Wesley. p. 65. ISBN 0-201-00442-9. OCLC 297591. 
  9. "A Look at Progressive Parlays and Picket Pools". SB Pal. http://www.sportsbettingpal.com/a-look-at-progressive-parlays-and-picket-pools/. Retrieved 17 September 2013.