Engineering:Lithium batteries in China

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China produced more than 15 billion units of lithium-ion batteries in 2019, which accounts for 73% of the world’s 316 gigawatt-hours capacity.[citation needed] China is a major producer of both lithium batteries and electric vehicles , with favorable policies for manufacturers and consumers.[citation needed] Chinese made lithium-ion batteries were exported mainly to Hong Kong, the United States, Germany, Korea, and Vietnam.[citation needed] One of the major drivers of the demand for lithium-ion batteries comes from the electric vehicle industry since lithium-ion batteries have high energy density for their weight.[citation needed] In the decade since 2008, the production of lithium batteries has tripled.[citation needed]

Background

Prior to lithium-ion battery technologies, rechargeable batteries for cars were mostly of the lead-acid type. Although the production cost is cheaper, lead-acid batteries are inferior in their capacity, depth of recharge, efficiency, and lifespan.[1] Charging lithium-ion batteries are four times faster than lead-acid batteries, making it more conceivable for frequently used applications such as mobile phones. Further, lithium-ion batteries are 55% lighter than its counterpart which is a significant metric in applications such as electric vehicles which consumes energy based on the total weight of the system. Lead-acid batteries have a lower lifespan with preferred 100% state-of-charge to keep their conditions.[2]

Lithium battery technologies are commonly used in smartphones, laptops, and many other portable devices.

History

In the 1990s, China had its first breakthrough with its state enterprise China Electronics Corporation successfully developing its own Model 18650 lithium battery which was ready for mass production. Although in this early stage, there was not much capital invested in the market, most of the research was dedicated to small consumer electronic products such as translators, music players, or cameras. With all of the varying consumer products, there are different needs for its battery, thus there is not a centralized demand for heavy research in the field. From 2001 to 2008, early players like BYD, Shenzhen Bike Battery, and Tianjin Lishen Battery have grown their investments in battery research and brought substantial growth to the Chinese lithium battery industry. From 2008 to 2016, the rise of smart devices like cell phones, tablets, or laptops prompted further demand for batteries. Since then, many technology companies have sourced their batteries from China for their advancement in battery development and competitive pricing. However, there were moments of stagnation during this period with issues of scaling and meaning the demands from across the world. Also during this time, concepts such as electric vehicles have become more prominent but require more research. Since 2016, the Chinese government has set favorable policies for electric vehicle development.[citation needed] These policies include providing loans to manufacturers, different tax breaks enjoyed from the entire supply line, or invitations for foreign investments and consumption of their battery products. Currently, the lithium battery industry in China continues to grow under the accelerating trend for electric vehicles, applications in military equipment, 5G services, and more.[3]

Market

Before the 2000s, battery production was dominated by Japan with its superior technologies, by companies like Panasonic, 88% of the world’s lithium battery production. In the following two decades, China invested heavily in its sourcing and manufacturing processes. Since 2015, China surpassed Japan, Korea, and the rest of the world and became the largest exporter of lithium batteries. Combined with Japan and Korea, China and the two countries account for 95% of lithium battery production in the world.[4]

China has the fourth-largest known lithium reserve with 1 million tons, behind Chile, Australia, and Argentina. Thus making them one of the biggest exports and capable candidates for developing lithium battery technologies. China continues to buy stakes in mining operations around the world. The world's largest lithium mine in Australia, Greenbushes, is controlled by China’s Tianqi Lithium with its 51% stake.[5]

In the decade since 2010, the market capitalization of China’s lithium battery has had an average annual growth of 14%.[6] Of China's more than 15 billion units of lithium batteries produced in 2019, China mainly exported to Hong Kong, United States, Germany, Korea, Vietnam, and others, where products and applications of the batteries are manufactured.[7]

Top Chinese lithium battery exporting countries
Destination Exports (in dollars)
1 Hong Kong, China 2,207,253,444
2 United States 1,866,464,43
3 Germany 1,213,838,120
4 Korea 1,030,050,679
5 Vietnam 996,689,537
6 India 784,287,720
7 Japan 712,403,804
8 The Netherlands 455,132,698
9 Poland 287,811,484
10 Taiwan 269,490,560

Source: The General Administration of Customs of China

Production

China’s crucial role in the development of lithium batteries can be highlighted by its lithium cell manufacturing capacity which accounts for 73% of the world’s 316 gigawatt-hours capacity. Its competitive edge comes from the low labor and production costs which attract foreign companies that can only find more expensive quotes from their local suppliers. In 2019, there were 131.6GWh produced in China, and Cairn Energy Research Advisors projects an annual production of 800 GWh by 2027.[8] The battery production concerning the consumer demand is near saturation in China, however consumer demand for lithium batteries applications on vehicles is expected to have continual growth in the upcoming decades.[9] The current market capitalization for lithium batteries in China is 190 billion yuan (roughly 30 billion dollars), it is projected that by 2026 the market capitalization will reach 268 billion yuan(42 billion dollars).[10] During the Covid-19 pandemic, growth in the industry was higher than expected, not only did it not slow down but had accelerated. It came from China’s quick recovery and reopening of manufacturing, along with the rise in demand for new energy vehicles in Europe.

The highest cost of electric vehicles comes from their battery packs, which account for 30% of the manufacturing cost of a car. In the past decade, scientists and manufacturers were able to reduce the cost from above $1,100 per kilowatt-hour to $137/kWh in 2020.[11] This is a significant 89% drop in the cost for both lithium batteries and the production of an electric vehicle.

Market segment

Lithium battery products are divided into many categories with the selection in electrolyte material, battery shape, anode/cathode material, covering material, and whether or not it is rechargeable.[12] Different selection of these categories determine different variations of lithium battery products. There is micro-competition within the Chinese battery manufacturing companies to achieve the best quality products at the cheapest cost. Recently, there is a growth in using man-made graphite in replacement of graphite ore. In 2020, man-made graphite dominated the material selection for anode and cathode with 84% of the market share.[13] In the upstream of lithium battery production, there is material sourcing from lithium, cobalt, manganese, and nickel mines, along with graphite ore. Upstream also includes processing these materials from the mines into electrolytes, cathodes, anodes, etc. Midstream involves the design of the battery and manufacturing the batteries from electrolytes, cathodes, anodes, and other pre-processed parts. Downstream is the application of lithium batteries, such as cellphones, laptops, and cars.[14] There are three main categories for products in the downstream - energy storage, consumer, and motor. The motor has the largest share with 53.95%, with consumers in second at 43.16%. The consumer segment is near saturation, while the motor segment is witnessing fast growth in global policies favoring electric vehicles. There are currently 72 Chinese companies in the race to produce lithium car batteries with Contemporary Amperex Technology leading with 50% of the market share.[15]

Electric vehicles in China

China is the world’s largest consumer of electric vehicles, with 400,000 electric buses in 2019, it houses 99% of the world’s electric buses.[16] With Chinese policies favoring electric cars both for manufacturers and consumers, 1.3 million EVs were sold in China in 2020 alone, which represented 41% of global EV sales.[17] China has the goal of pushing electric vehicles to become 40 percent of all car sales by 2030.[18]

In 2020, 46.5% of lithium battery demand comes from electric vehicles,[19] far exceeding the previous lead of smart mobile devices. As the largest consumer of EVs, China itself has a large demand for lithium batteries to produce these EVs. In April 2021, China has reported a total of 8.4 GWh of lithium batteries installed in their electric vehicles, this represents a 134% increase from the year before.[20]

Lithium battery related companies in China

Ganfeng

Ganfeng Lithium is the largest lithium supplier in China and the third-largest in the world, it is vertically integrated so includes in its business resource development, refining and processing, battery manufacturing, battery recycling, and others. It has a leading advantage with its patented inventions throughout battery production such as extraction technologies, recycling technologies from lithium wastes, and more. All of these pioneering technologies contribute to a high energy conversion efficiency and long-life energy storage.[21] The company is also involved in the development of lithium extraction projects internationally, such as in Sonora Mexico, with the prospect to produce 35,000 tonnes of lithium per year.[22]

Contemporary Amperex Technology

Contemporary Amperex Technology is one of the largest lithium battery producers in China and was responsible for 45.5% of battery installation in the country.[23] In 2019, Contemporary Amperex Technology has a net income of 39.14 billion yuan with 18% of China’s lithium battery exports. During that year it had more than 32 GWh of lithium battery installation for electric vehicles, placing it first in the world ahead of Panasonic of Japan and LG of Korea.[24] It provides lithium batteries for many companies around the world. Contemporary Amperex Technology is a long-time supplier for Tesla, which uses its LFP batteries to build its latest models. Lithium iron phosphate batteries (LFP) tend to have a lower energy density compared to traditional lithium batteries that also utilize cobalt, but have been sought after by the competitive price advantage without the expensive element. Recently, the company has made significant progress in LFP with changes to the battery architectures that improved its energy density, thus allowing the battery for wider EV use.[25]

China Aviation Lithium Battery Technology Co.

China Aviation Lithium Battery Technology Co. (CALB) was formed in 2015 as part of state-owned aerospace and defense firm Aviation Industry Corp of China Ltd. In 2022, it is going to become public in Hong Kong for $2 billion. As of July 2022, CALB has a market share in China of 11.2 percent. It is the second-largest maker of ternary nickel batteries.[26]

BYD Company

As one of the early leaders in China’s lithium battery industry, BYD Company along with other early players were responsible for the rapid development that transitioned China from a mimicker to a leading developer.[27] It has since transitioned itself into the automaker industry. With a split focus, it was responsible for 14.6% of the lithium batteries installed in electric vehicles countrywide in the first quarter of 2021.[28]

Nio

Nio is one of the leading electric vehicle brands in China. Currently, it does not produce its lithium batteries and has relied on sources such as Contemporary Amperex Technology, however, to help achieve better margins for the sales of its electric cars, they have invested heavily in the factories and research in lithium battery technologies.[29] Recently they have launched a program for battery swapping which allows users to swap out their used battery for a fully charged battery in public stations. The program aims to tackle the problem of charging time and limited charging stations in the country, also by displacing the battery removing battery ownership from part of the vehicle, the cars could be sold at a much cheaper price.[30]

Challenges and controversies

The procedure to produce lithium batteries is long and complex, from mining to refining, cathode production, cell production, to module assembly, before passing on to original equipment manufacturers. Each of those steps encompasses many micro-steps that require precision and time to ensure its quality. Take the procedure of formation or aging within module assembly, it could take up to 3 weeks for each batch which contributes to 30% of the manufacturing cost.

As most mining processes are invasive to the surrounding area, lithium mining has also met serious controversies about the impact it has on the surrounding area. The controversy of lithium mining comes from its need for water - mining one ton of lithium requires 500,000 US gallons (1,900,000 l; 420,000 imp gal) of water. Yet, the largest mines in the world reside in Argentina, Bolivia, and Chile, which often face droughts and have serious demand for fresh water from the local farmers. Thus the extraction of lithium has often been linked to increased droughts.[31] In several of the lithium mines there are reports of chemical leaks in the nearby water source, these chemicals such as hydrochloric acid are toxic to living organisms. Other reports may attribute lithium mining to damage to the soil and air contamination. Thus, some activists have warned about the environmental impact of lithium mining.[32]

Environmental implications

As the world starts to act on the climate crisis, many countries have set targets to lower carbon emissions. Many countries are slowly moving to ban gasoline-powered vehicles on the road - Norway with targeted tradition completed by 2025, and the U.S, Japan, and many other European countries set their timeline near 2035.[33] During this transition, lithium would continue to have a trending relevance in the production of electric vehicles. In 2019 transportation accounts for 28% of energy consumption in the United States.[34] This means a total shift from petroleum, biofuels, natural gas, or other fuels that currently power our cars could mean a 28% reduction in our CO2 reduction. While we are searching for alternative energy sources from windmills, solar panels, hydropower, or nuclear fusions, lithium batteries play an important role as storage units for applications such as electric vehicles.

Lithium batteries and electric vehicles do not directly reduce carbon emissions, as the energy that is stored in car batteries can still come from many different sources, including fossil fuel burning. However, the advancement of lithium batteries allowed for the development of electric vehicles which removed our dependence on gasoline to power our vehicles. As the world continues to find alternative energy sources for generating electricity, we would have the containers and platforms to power our vehicles without gasoline.

A bottleneck in the development of electric vehicles comes from the availability of charging stations. Although China has currently set up the most charging stations in the world, with more than 1.32 million stations, of which 550,000 of those are for public use, these numbers are still far from the needs of all-electric vehicle users if it wishes to scale.[35]

References

  1. ↑ "Lithium-ion vs. Lead Acid Batteries: How Do They Compare? | EnergySage" (in en-US). 2020-08-10. https://news.energysage.com/lithium-ion-vs-lead-acid-batteries/. 
  2. ↑ "The Complete Guide to Lithium vs Lead Acid Batteries" (in en-US). 2020-02-25. https://www.power-sonic.com/blog/lithium-vs-lead-acid-batteries/. 
  3. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  4. ↑ "2020年全球锂电池行业市场现状与发展前景分析 规模超400亿美元【组图】_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/200608-7e0898d1.html. 
  5. ↑ Daly, Tom (2020-12-08). "Tianqi gets $1.4 billion lithium mine lifeline from Australia's IGO" (in en). Reuters. https://www.reuters.com/article/tianqi-lithium-debt-igo-idUSKBN28I2AI. 
  6. ↑ "2020年中国锂离子电池行业市场现状及竞争格局分析 宁德时代业务收入遥遥领先发展_前瞻趋势 - 前瞻产业研究院". https://bg.qianzhan.com/trends/detail/506/201106-efdb8587.html. 
  7. ↑ "2020年中国锂离子电池行业市场现状及竞争格局分析 宁德时代业务收入遥遥领先发展_前瞻趋势 - 前瞻产业研究院". https://bg.qianzhan.com/trends/detail/506/201106-efdb8587.html. 
  8. ↑ Katwala, Amit. "The spiraling environmental cost of our lithium battery addiction" (in en-GB). Wired UK. ISSN 1357-0978. https://www.wired.co.uk/article/lithium-batteries-environment-impact. Retrieved 2021-06-02. 
  9. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  10. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  11. ↑ "Annual survey finds battery prices dropped 13% in 2020" (in en-US). 2020-12-18. https://www.renewableenergyworld.com/storage/annual-survey-finds-battery-prices-dropped-13-in-2020/. 
  12. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  13. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  14. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  15. ↑ "预见2021：《2021年中国锂电池行业全景图谱》（附行业供需、竞争格局、发展前景等）_行业研究报告 - 前瞻网". https://www.qianzhan.com/analyst/detail/220/210127-b3032be6.html. 
  16. ↑ "China dominates the electric bus market, but the US is getting on board" (in en). https://www.pri.org/stories/2019-10-08/china-dominates-electric-bus-market-us-getting-board. 
  17. ↑ "Canalys: China's electric vehicle sales to grow by more than 50% in 2021 after modest 2020" (in en). 2021-02-22. https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20210222005461/en/Canalys-China%E2%80%99s-electric-vehicle-sales-to-grow-by-more-than-50-in-2021-after-modest-2020. 
  18. ↑ "China's transition to electric vehicles" (in en). https://news.mit.edu/2021/chinas-transition-electric-vehicles-0429. 
  19. ↑ "锂电池行业分析报告_中国锂电池行业市场需求预测与投资战略规划分析报告-前瞻产业研究院". https://bg.qianzhan.com/report/detail/5e37c5f1f5364e85.html?v=title. 
  20. ↑ "最新动力电池装机排名来了，宁德时代市场率今年首次降至五成以下|界面新闻" (in zh). https://www.jiemian.com/article/6082477.html#:~:text=%E5%AE%81%E5%BE%B7%E6%97%B6%E4%BB%A3%E4%BE%9D%E7%84%B6%E6%8E%92%E5%90%8D%E6%A6%9C%E9%A6%96,%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E5%8D%A0%E6%9C%89%E7%8E%87%E8%BE%BE%E5%88%B052.6%25%E3%80%82. 
  21. ↑ "Lithium Metals|Lithium Compounds--Ganfeng Lithium Co., Ltd". http://www.ganfenglithium.com/chuang1_en.html. 
  22. ↑ "Analysis: Lithium experts skeptical on success of Mexico's state-run miner" Reuters Commodities News. Retrieved 28 August 2022.
  23. ↑ "最新动力电池装机排名来了，宁德时代市场率今年首次降至五成以下|界面新闻" (in zh). https://www.jiemian.com/article/6082477.html#:~:text=%E5%AE%81%E5%BE%B7%E6%97%B6%E4%BB%A3%E4%BE%9D%E7%84%B6%E6%8E%92%E5%90%8D%E6%A6%9C%E9%A6%96,%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E5%8D%A0%E6%9C%89%E7%8E%87%E8%BE%BE%E5%88%B052.6%25%E3%80%82. 
  24. ↑ "全球锂电池品牌大盘点！锂电池十大品牌排名出炉！ - 能源界". http://www.nengyuanjie.net/article/40601.html. 
  25. ↑ Wong, Jacky (2020-09-18). "China's EV Champion Bets Big on a Different Flavor of Battery" (in en-US). Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660. https://www.wsj.com/articles/chinas-ev-champion-bets-big-on-a-different-flavor-of-battery-11600424175. 
  26. ↑ "A New Chinese EV Battery Giant Has Emerged". Bloomberg. September 6, 2022. https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-09-05/a-new-chinese-ev-battery-giant-calb-has-emerged. 
  27. ↑ "GGII：亿纬锂能动力电池装机量详细分析– 高工锂电新闻". https://www.gg-lb.com/art-40739-yj.html. 
  28. ↑ "最新动力电池装机排名来了，宁德时代市场率今年首次降至五成以下|界面新闻" (in zh). https://www.jiemian.com/article/6082477.html#:~:text=%E5%AE%81%E5%BE%B7%E6%97%B6%E4%BB%A3%E4%BE%9D%E7%84%B6%E6%8E%92%E5%90%8D%E6%A6%9C%E9%A6%96,%E5%B8%82%E5%9C%BA%E5%8D%A0%E6%9C%89%E7%8E%87%E8%BE%BE%E5%88%B052.6%25%E3%80%82. 
  29. ↑ Bradsher2021年2月26日, Keith (2021-02-26). "蔚来汽车会成为汽车行业的未来吗？" (in zh-cmn-hans). https://cn.nytimes.com/business/20210226/china-nio-electric-cars/. 
  30. ↑ "Nio presents next-gen battery swap station with Sinopec" (in en-US). 2021-04-15. https://www.electrive.com/2021/04/15/nio-presents-next-gen-battery-swap-station-with-sinopec/. 
  31. ↑ "Lithium mining: What you should know about the contentious issue". https://www.volkswagenag.com/en/news/stories/2020/03/lithium-mining-what-you-should-know-about-the-contentious-issue.html#:~:text=The%20total%20global%20reserves%20are,and%20Argentina%20(6,200%20tons).. 
  32. ↑ Katwala, Amit. "The spiralling environmental cost of our lithium battery addiction" (in en-GB). Wired UK. ISSN 1357-0978. https://www.wired.co.uk/article/lithium-batteries-environment-impact. Retrieved 2021-06-02. 
  33. ↑ "Fossil fuel-based vehicle bans across the world" (in en). Reuters. 2020-11-18. https://www.reuters.com/article/climate-change-britain-factbox-idINKBN27Y19F. 
  34. ↑ "Use of energy for transportation - U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA)". https://www.eia.gov/energyexplained/use-of-energy/transportation.php. 
  35. ↑ "新能源汽车产业迎重大利好！将获得更多中央政策支持_解读_中国政府网". http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/2020-10/10/content_5550115.htm. 



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