Earth:Unstoppable Global Warming

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Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years
Unstoppableglobal.jpg
AuthorSiegfried Fred Singer, Dennis T. Avery
CountryAmerica
LanguageEnglish
Subjectglobal warming
GenreScience
PublisherRowman & Littlefield
Publication date
28 October 2006
Pages260
ISBNISBN:978-0-7425-5117-6

Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years is a book about climate change, written by Siegfried Fred Singer and Dennis T. Avery, which asserts that natural changes, and not CO2 emissions, are the cause of global warming. Published by Rowman & Littlefield in 2006, the book sold well and was reprinted in an updated edition in 2007.

The title refers to the hypothesis of 1,500-year climate cycles in the Holocene first postulated by Gerard C. Bond, mainly based on petrologic tracers of drift ice in the North Atlantic.[1][2]

Synopsis

Over sixteen chapters the authors present their view of the natural cycles in the earth's climate and argue that the current warming period is not caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions.

The book begins with the Earth's climate timeline, starting from the formation of the Earth 4.5 billion years ago,[3] and leading up to the Modern Warm Period.[4]

The book ends with a chapter titled "The ultimate failure of the Kyoto Protocol", which predicted that the Protocol would be unsuccessful in curtailing emissions. It covers the localised plummeting emissions associated with the collapse of the Soviet Union and what the book says is Russia's excess amount of Carbon Credits which, the book argues, will be purchased by European nations to offset their rising emissions.[5]

Reception

The book has attracted opposite reactions from the denialist scene and economists on one hand and from scientists on the other. The Heartland Institute, which is known for its global warming denial, arranged for the distribution of free copies to elected officials.[6][7] Jay Lehr, an economist and Heartland Institute's "science director", wrote a favorable review in News Weekly, the newsletter of the Australian political movement National Civic Council, calling the book "truly amazing".[8] Economist Richard W. Rahn in The Washington Times welcomed it as "a wonderful new book".[9]

Climatologist Mike Hulme writing for The Guardian pointed out that the warming predicted by Bond's cycles is too small to account for the warming that actually observed. He said, "Deploying the machinery of scientific method allows us to filter out hypotheses – such as those presented by Singer and Avery – as being plain wrong".[10] David Archer wrote a point-by-point refutation of claims by Avery and Singer on the RealClimate website.[11]

See also

References

  1. Bond, Gerard; Showers, William; Cheseby, Maziet; Lotti, Rusty; Almasi, Peter; deMenocal, Peter; Priore, Paul; Cullen, Heidi et al. (1997). "A Pervasive Millennial-Scale Cycle in North Atlantic Holocene and Glacial Climates". Science 278 (5341): 1257–1266. doi:10.1126/science.278.5341.1257. Bibcode1997Sci...278.1257B. 
  2. Bond, G. et al. (2001). "Persistent Solar Influence on North Atlantic Climate During the Holocene". Science 294 (5549): 2130–2136. doi:10.1126/science.1065680. PMID 11739949. Bibcode2001Sci...294.2130B. 
  3. Amelin, Y; Krot, An; Hutcheon, Id; Ulyanov, Aa (Sep 2002). "Lead isotopic ages of chondrules and calcium-aluminum-rich inclusions". Science 297 (5587): 1678–83. doi:10.1126/science.1073950. ISSN 0036-8075. PMID 12215641. Bibcode2002Sci...297.1678A.  The age of the Earth is constrained to be less than 4.567 billion years.
  4. Singer, Siegfried Fred; Avery, Dennis T. (28 October 2006). "Chap. 13". Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years. Rowman & Littlefield. https://archive.org/details/unstoppablegloba00sing. 
  5. Singer, Siegfried Fred; Avery, Dennis T. (2007). "Chap 16". Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years. Rowman & Littlefield. p. 221. ISBN 9780742551176. https://archive.org/details/unstoppablegloba00sing. "Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years." 
  6. "Archived copy". http://globalwarmingheartland.org/policy-documents/heartlander-may-2007-0. 
  7. GOP lawmakers oppose anti global warming measures, Globe Gazette. 2008
  8. Lehr, Dr Jay. "Books: Unstoppable Global Warming, Every 1,500 Years". News Weekly. p. 1. http://www.newsweekly.com.au/articles/2008mar15_b1.html. 
  9. Rahn, Richard (16 November 2006). "A warm and fuzzy feeling.". The Washington Times (Goliath). http://goliath.ecnext.com/coms2/gi_0199-5967948/A-warm-and-fuzzy-feeling.html. 
  10. Hulme, Mike (14 March 2007). "The appliance of science". The Guardian: p. 1. https://www.theguardian.com/society/2007/mar/14/scienceofclimatechange.climatechange. 
  11. "Avery and Singer: Unstoppable hot air". RealClimate. 20 November 2006. http://www.realclimate.org/index.php/archives/2006/11/avery-and-singer-unstoppable-hot-air/.