Finance:Debreu theorems
In economics, the Debreu theorems are several statements about the representation of a preference ordering by a real-valued function. The theorems were proved by Gerard Debreu during the 1950s.
Background
Suppose a person is asked questions of the form "Do you prefer A or B?" (when A and B can be options, actions to take, states of the world, consumption bundles, etc.). All the responses are recorded. Then, preferences of that person are represented by a numeric utility function, such that the utility of option A is larger than option B if and only if the agent prefers A to B.
The Debreu theorems come to answer the following basic question: what conditions on the preference relation of the agent guarantee that such representative utility function can be found?
Existence of ordinal utility function
The 1954 Theorems[1] say, roughly, that every preference relation which is complete, transitive and continuous, can be represented by a continuous ordinal utility function.
Statement
The theorems are usually applied to spaces of finite commodities. However, they are applicable in a much more general setting. These are the general assumptions:
- X is a topological space.
- [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] is a relation on X which is total (all items are comparable) and transitive.
- [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] is continuous. This means that the following equivalent conditions are satisfied:
- For every [math]\displaystyle{ x\in X }[/math], the sets [math]\displaystyle{ \{y|y\preceq x\} }[/math] and [math]\displaystyle{ \{y|y\succeq x\} }[/math] are topologically closed in [math]\displaystyle{ X }[/math].
- For every sequence [math]\displaystyle{ (x_i) }[/math] such that [math]\displaystyle{ x_i \to x_\infty }[/math], if for all i [math]\displaystyle{ x_i\preceq y }[/math] then [math]\displaystyle{ x_\infty\preceq y }[/math], and if for all i [math]\displaystyle{ x_i\succeq y }[/math] then [math]\displaystyle{ x_\infty\succeq y }[/math]
Each one of the following conditions guarantees the existence of a real-valued continuous function that represents the preference relation [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math]:
1. The set of equivalence classes of the relation [math]\displaystyle{ \sim }[/math] (defined by: [math]\displaystyle{ x\sim y }[/math] iff [math]\displaystyle{ x\preceq y }[/math] and [math]\displaystyle{ x\succeq y }[/math]) are a countable set.
2. There is a countable subset of X, [math]\displaystyle{ Z=\{z_0,z_1,...\} }[/math], such that for every pair of non-equivalent elements [math]\displaystyle{ x\prec y }[/math], there is an element [math]\displaystyle{ z_i\in Z }[/math] that separates them ([math]\displaystyle{ x\preceq z_i \preceq y }[/math]).
3. X is separable and connected.
4. X is second countable. This means that there is a countable set S of open sets, such that every open set in X is the union of sets of the class S.
The proof for the fourth result had a gap which Debreu later corrected.[2]
Examples
A. Let [math]\displaystyle{ X=\mathbb{R}^2 }[/math] with the standard topology (the Euclidean topology). Define the following preference relation: [math]\displaystyle{ (x,y)\preceq (x',y') }[/math] iff [math]\displaystyle{ x+y \leq x'+y' }[/math]. It is continuous because for every [math]\displaystyle{ (x,y) }[/math], the sets [math]\displaystyle{ \{(x',y')|x'+y'\leq x+y\} }[/math] and [math]\displaystyle{ \{(x',y')|x'+y'\geq x+y\} }[/math] are closed half-planes. Condition 1 is violated because the set of equivalence classes is uncountable. However, condition 2 is satisfied with Z as the set of pairs with rational coordinates. Condition 3 is also satisfied since X is separable and connected. Hence, there exists a continuous function which represents [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math]. An example of such function is [math]\displaystyle{ u(x,y)=x+y }[/math].
B. Let [math]\displaystyle{ X=\mathbb{R}^2 }[/math] with the standard topology as above. The lexicographic preferences relation is not continuous in that topology. For example, [math]\displaystyle{ (5,1)\succ (5,0) }[/math], but in every ball around (5,1) there are points with [math]\displaystyle{ x\lt 5 }[/math] and these points are inferior to [math]\displaystyle{ (5,0) }[/math]. Indeed, this relation cannot be represented by a continuous real-valued function.
Extension
Diamond[3] applied Debreu's theorem to the space [math]\displaystyle{ X=\ell^\infty }[/math], the set of all bounded real-valued sequences with the topology induced by the supremum metric (see L-infinity). X represents the set of all utility streams with infinite horizon.
In addition to the requirement that [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] be total, transitive and continuous, He added a sensitivity requirement:
- If a stream [math]\displaystyle{ x }[/math] is smaller than a stream [math]\displaystyle{ y }[/math] in every time period, then [math]\displaystyle{ x\prec y }[/math].
- If a stream [math]\displaystyle{ x }[/math] is smaller-than-or-equal-to a stream [math]\displaystyle{ y }[/math] in every time period, then [math]\displaystyle{ x\preceq y }[/math].
Under these requirements, every stream [math]\displaystyle{ x }[/math] is equivalent to a constant-utility stream, and every two constant-utility streams are separable by a constant-utility stream with a rational utility, so condition #2 of Debreu is satisfied, and the preference relation can be represented by a real-valued function.
The existence result is valid even when the topology of X is changed to the topology induced by the discounted metric: [math]\displaystyle{ d(x,y)=\sum_{t=1}^\infty{2^{-t}|x_t-y_t|} }[/math]
Additivity of ordinal utility function
Theorem 3 of 1960[4] says, roughly, that if the commodity space contains 3 or more components, and every subset of the components is preferentially-independent of the other components, then the preference relation can be represented by an additive value function.
Statement
These are the general assumptions:
- X, the space of all bundles, is a cartesian product of n commodity spaces: [math]\displaystyle{ X = \times_{i=1}^n{X_i} }[/math] (i.e., the space of bundles is a set of n-tuples of commodities).
- [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] is a relation on X which is total (all items are comparable) and transitive.
- [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] is continuous (see above).
- There exists an ordinal utility function, [math]\displaystyle{ v }[/math], representing [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math].
The function [math]\displaystyle{ v }[/math] is called additive if it can be written as a sum of n ordinal utility functions on the n factors:
- [math]\displaystyle{ v(x_1,...,x_n)=\sum_{i=1}^n{k_i v_i(x_i)} }[/math]
where the [math]\displaystyle{ k_i }[/math] are constants.
Given a set of indices [math]\displaystyle{ I }[/math], the set of commodities [math]\displaystyle{ (X_i)_{i\in I} }[/math] is called preferentially independent if the preference relation [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math] induced on [math]\displaystyle{ (X_i)_{i\in I} }[/math], given constant quantities of the other commodities [math]\displaystyle{ (X_i)_{i\notin I} }[/math], does not depend on these constant quantities.
If [math]\displaystyle{ v }[/math] is additive, then obviously all subsets of commodities are preferentially-independent.
If all subsets of commodities are preferentially-independent AND at least three commodities are essential (meaning that their quantities have an influence on the preference relation [math]\displaystyle{ \preceq }[/math]), then [math]\displaystyle{ v }[/math] is additive.
Moreover, in that case [math]\displaystyle{ v }[/math] is unique up to an increasing linear transformation.
For an intuitive constructive proof, see Ordinal utility - Additivity with three or more goods.
Theorems on Cardinal utility
Theorem 1 of 1960[4] deals with preferences on lotteries. It can be seen as an improvement to the von Neumann–Morgenstern utility theorem of 1947. The earlier theorem assumes that agents have preferences on lotteries with arbitrary probabilities. Debreu's theorem weakens this assumption and assumes only that agents have preferences on equal-chance lotteries (i.e., they can only answer questions of the form: "Do you prefer A over an equal-chance lottery between B and C?").
Formally, there is a set [math]\displaystyle{ S }[/math] of sure choices. The set of lotteries is [math]\displaystyle{ S\times S }[/math]. Debreu's theorem states that if:
- The set of all sure choices [math]\displaystyle{ S }[/math] is a connected and separable space;
- The preference relation on the set of lotteries [math]\displaystyle{ S\times S }[/math] is continuous - the sets [math]\displaystyle{ \{(A,B)\in S\times S|(A,B)\preceq (A',B')\} }[/math] and [math]\displaystyle{ \{(A,B)\in S\times S| (A,B)\succeq (A',B')\} }[/math] are topologically closed for all [math]\displaystyle{ (A,B)\in S }[/math];
- [math]\displaystyle{ (A_1,B_2)\preceq (A_2,B_1) }[/math] and [math]\displaystyle{ (A_2,B_3)\preceq (A_3,B_2) }[/math] implies [math]\displaystyle{ (A_1,B_3)\preceq (A_3,B_1) }[/math]
Then there exists a cardinal utility function u that represents the preference relation on the set of lotteries, i.e.:
- [math]\displaystyle{ u(A,B) = (u(A,A)+u(B,B))/2 }[/math]
Theorem 2 of 1960[4] deals with agents whose preferences are represented by frequency-of-choice. When they can choose between A and B, they choose A with frequency [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B) }[/math] and B with frequency [math]\displaystyle{ p(B,A)=1-p(A,B) }[/math]. The value [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B) }[/math] can be interpreted as measuring how much the agent prefers A over B.
Debreu's theorem states that if the agent's function p satisfies the following conditions:
- Completeness: [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B)+p(B,A)=1 }[/math]
- Quadruple Condition: [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B)\leq p(C,D) \iff p(A,C)\leq p(B,D) }[/math]
- Continuity: if [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B)\leq q\leq p(A,D) }[/math], then there exists C such that: [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,C)=q }[/math].
Then there exists a cardinal utility function u that represents p, i.e:
- [math]\displaystyle{ p(A,B)\leq p(C,D) \iff u(A)-u(B)\leq u(C)-u(D) }[/math].
See also
References
- ↑ Debreu, Gerard (1954). Representation of a preference ordering by a numerical function. https://archive.org/details/decisionprocesse033215mbp/page/n172/mode/1up.
- ↑ Debreu, Gerard (1964). "Continuity properties of Paretian utility". International Economic Review 5 (3): 285–293. doi:10.2307/2525513.
- ↑ Diamond, Peter A. (1965). "The Evaluation of Infinite Utility Streams". Econometrica 33: 170. doi:10.2307/1911893.
- ↑ 4.0 4.1 4.2 Debreu, Gerard. Topological Methods in Cardinal Utility Theory. http://dido.wss.yale.edu/P/cp/p01b/p0156.pdf.[yes|permanent dead link|dead link}}]