Astronomy:List of predicted asteroid impacts on Earth

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This is a list of asteroids that have impacted Earth after discovery and orbit calculation that predicted the impact in advance. (As of January 2024), all of the asteroids with predicted impacts were under 5 m (16 ft) in size that were discovered just hours before impact, and burned up in the atmosphere as meteors.

Asteroid
designation		 Date of impact Location of impact Method of detection Estimated size Reference
2008 TC3 October 7, 2008 Nubian Desert in Sudan visual, meteorite recovery 4 m (13 ft) [1]
2014 AA January 2, 2014 Central Atlantic Ocean infrasound 2–4 m (6.6–13.1 ft) [2]
2018 LA June 2, 2018 Botswana/South Africa border visual 2 m (6.6 ft) [3]
2019 MO June 22, 2019 Caribbean Sea near Puerto Rico infrasound, weather satellite & radar 4 m (13 ft) [4]
2022 EB5 March 11, 2022 Jan Mayen, northern Atlantic Ocean visual 2 m (6.6 ft) [5]
2022 WJ1 November 19, 2022 Ontario, Canada visual 1 m (3.3 ft) [6]
2023 CX1 February 13, 2023 Northwestern France visual 1 m (3.3 ft) [7]
2024 BX1 January 21, 2024 Berlin, Germany visual 1 m (3.3 ft) [8]

References

  1. ↑ Shaddad, Muawia H. (October 2010). "The recovery of asteroid 2008 TC3". Meteoritics & Planetary Science 45 (10–11): 1557–1589. doi:10.1111/j.1945-5100.2010.01116.x. Bibcode: 2010M&PS...45.1557S. http://asima.seti.org/2008TC3/papers/maps1116-1296.pdf. Retrieved 2024-01-27. 
  2. ↑ Beatty, Kelly (January 2, 2014). "Small asteroid 2014 AA hits Earth". Sky & Telescope. http://www.skyandtelescope.com/astronomy-news/small-asteroid-2014-aa-hitsearth/. 
  3. ↑ Malik, Tariq (June 4, 2018). "A Tiny Asteroid Just Hit Earth, Sparking a Fireball Over South Africa (Video)". Space.com. https://www.space.com/40783-tiny-asteroid-hits-earth-2018-la-video.html. 
  4. ↑ Geggel, Laura (June 28, 2019). "Astronomers Spotted a Car-Size Asteroid Just Hours Before Impact". Space.com. https://www.space.com/car-size-asteroid-hits-earth.html. 
  5. ↑ Baker, Harry (March 16, 2022). "Fridge-size asteroid detected just 2 hours before it slammed into Earth". Live Science. https://www.livescience.com/asteroid-discovered-before-hitting-earth. 
  6. ↑ "NASA Program Predicted Impact of Small Asteroid Over Ontario, Canada". NASA/JPL. November 22, 2022. https://www.jpl.nasa.gov/news/nasa-program-predicted-impact-of-small-asteroid-over-ontario-canada. 
  7. ↑ "CNEOS Predicts Another Small Asteroid Impact, This One over Northwestern France". NASA/JPL CNEOS. February 14, 2023. https://cneos.jpl.nasa.gov/news/news209.html. 
  8. ↑ Price, Kiley (January 23, 2024). "Scientists discover near-Earth asteroid hours before it exploded over Berlin". Space.com. https://www.space.com/scientists-discover-near-earth-asteroid-hours-before-it-exploded-over-berlin. 



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